Bitcoin Prediction Markets
Bitcoin 5-Minute hub
UTC DAILY ARCHIVE

Bitcoin 5-Minute Prediction Markets Daily Report — August 6, 2026

Auditable summary of completed simulated signals and market conditions.

TOTAL SIGNALS8699MODEL EVENTS
COMPLETED81W / 7L
HIT RATE12.5%SIMULATED
AVG EDGE+21.0 ppAT ENTRY
PAPER PNL-$226.73-28.3% AVG RETURN
SESSION CONTEXT

Bitcoin market regime

The session completed 8 paper trades with a 12.5% hit rate and an average modeled entry edge of 21.0 percentage points. Aggregate realized paper PnL finished negative; short samples should not be treated as evidence of future performance.

RANKED BY PAPER PNL

Top trades of the day

8 CASES
  1. 01
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET+14.6 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    WIN
    PNL
    $17.73
    CASE STUDY
  2. 02
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET+22.9 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$8.53
    CASE STUDY
  3. 03
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET+28.3 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$8.69
    CASE STUDY
  4. 04
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET+9.8 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$8.69
    CASE STUDY
  5. 05
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET+5.8 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$8.69
    CASE STUDY
  6. 06
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET+12.5 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$9.84
    CASE STUDY
  7. 07
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET+43.6 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$100.00
    CASE STUDY
  8. 08
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET+30.8 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$100.00
    CASE STUDY

Daily reports describe simulated model behavior. They are not a brokerage statement, audited financial result or guarantee of future performance.