Frequently asked questions

An independent model probability for an outcome. It is calculated separately from the market price and published only when evidence, freshness and source-quality gates pass.

A signal is a filtered gap between Fair Price and an executable market price. It is a research output, not an instruction to buy or sell.

There may be too little independent evidence, an ambiguous resolution rule, stale data or no realistic quote. In those cases the system fails closed.

The architecture targets point-in-time replay: each decision may use only evidence and features available at that timestamp. Results without that proof are not release-ready.

No. The service does not accept funds, retain private keys or exchange API keys, or execute real trades. Live SIM is a virtual simulation.

When a working authentication provider is enabled, the access page offers sign-in. Until then it shows the Early Access request form.

Public Developer API credentials are not launched yet. Scopes, rotation, quotas, metering and abuse controls are required before release.