Bitcoin Prediction Markets
Bitcoin 15-Minute hub
UTC DAILY ARCHIVE

Bitcoin 15-Minute Prediction Markets Daily Report — August 6, 2026

Auditable summary of completed simulated signals and market conditions.

TOTAL SIGNALS1996MODEL EVENTS
COMPLETED103W / 7L
HIT RATE30.0%SIMULATED
AVG EDGE+32.3 ppAT ENTRY
PAPER PNL$92.929.3% AVG RETURN
SESSION CONTEXT

Bitcoin market regime

The session completed 10 paper trades with a 30.0% hit rate and an average modeled entry edge of 32.3 percentage points. Aggregate realized paper PnL finished positive; short samples should not be treated as evidence of future performance.

RANKED BY PAPER PNL

Top trades of the day

8 CASES
  1. 01
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET+64.5 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    WIN
    PNL
    $178.12
    CASE STUDY
  2. 02
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET+36.8 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    WIN
    PNL
    $86.06
    CASE STUDY
  3. 03
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET+44.0 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    WIN
    PNL
    $85.84
    CASE STUDY
  4. 04
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET+28.3 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$9.82
    CASE STUDY
  5. 05
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET+6.3 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$10.37
    CASE STUDY
  6. 06
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET+8.9 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$10.38
    CASE STUDY
  7. 07
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET+46.7 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$10.42
    CASE STUDY
  8. 08
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET+19.1 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$16.09
    CASE STUDY

Daily reports describe simulated model behavior. They are not a brokerage statement, audited financial result or guarantee of future performance.