Bitcoin Prediction Markets
Bitcoin 15-Minute hub
UTC DAILY ARCHIVE

Bitcoin 15-Minute Prediction Markets Daily Report — July 30, 2026

Auditable summary of completed simulated signals and market conditions.

TOTAL SIGNALS1740MODEL EVENTS
COMPLETED81W / 7L
HIT RATE12.5%SIMULATED
AVG EDGE+20.4 ppAT ENTRY
PAPER PNL-$231.77-29.0% AVG RETURN
SESSION CONTEXT

Bitcoin market regime

The session completed 8 paper trades with a 12.5% hit rate and an average modeled entry edge of 20.4 percentage points. Aggregate realized paper PnL finished negative; short samples should not be treated as evidence of future performance.

RANKED BY PAPER PNL

Top trades of the day

8 CASES
  1. 01
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET+16.5 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    WIN
    PNL
    $17.86
    CASE STUDY
  2. 02
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET+7.3 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$9.71
    CASE STUDY
  3. 03
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET+7.8 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$9.84
    CASE STUDY
  4. 04
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET+7.9 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$9.98
    CASE STUDY
  5. 05
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET+5.3 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$9.98
    CASE STUDY
  6. 06
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET+6.0 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$10.12
    CASE STUDY
  7. 07
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET+67.7 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$100.00
    CASE STUDY
  8. 08
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET+45.0 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$100.00
    CASE STUDY

Daily reports describe simulated model behavior. They are not a brokerage statement, audited financial result or guarantee of future performance.