Bitcoin Prediction Markets
Bitcoin 4-Hour hub
UTC DAILY ARCHIVE

Bitcoin 4-Hour Prediction Markets Daily Report — July 28, 2026

Auditable summary of completed simulated signals and market conditions.

TOTAL SIGNALS266MODEL EVENTS
COMPLETED62W / 4L
HIT RATE33.3%SIMULATED
AVG EDGE+25.2 ppAT ENTRY
PAPER PNL-$117.72-19.6% AVG RETURN
SESSION CONTEXT

Bitcoin market regime

The session completed 6 paper trades with a 33.3% hit rate and an average modeled entry edge of 25.2 percentage points. Aggregate realized paper PnL finished negative; short samples should not be treated as evidence of future performance.

RANKED BY PAPER PNL

Top trades of the day

6 CASES
  1. 01
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET+45.8 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    WIN
    PNL
    $86.38
    CASE STUDY
  2. 02
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET+14.4 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    WIN
    PNL
    $14.97
    CASE STUDY
  3. 03
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET+47.5 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$4.83
    CASE STUDY
  4. 04
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET+5.4 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$14.42
    CASE STUDY
  5. 05
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET+10.0 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$99.82
    CASE STUDY
  6. 06
    Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET+28.0 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$100.00
    CASE STUDY

Daily reports describe simulated model behavior. They are not a brokerage statement, audited financial result or guarantee of future performance.