UTC DAILY ARCHIVE
Bitcoin 1-Hour Prediction Markets Daily Report — August 6, 2026
Auditable summary of completed simulated signals and market conditions.
SESSION CONTEXT
Bitcoin market regime
The session completed 5 paper trades with a 20.0% hit rate and an average modeled entry edge of 12.7 percentage points. Aggregate realized paper PnL finished negative; short samples should not be treated as evidence of future performance.
RANKED BY PAPER PNL
5 CASESTop trades of the day
- 01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6PM ET+10.4 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
- RESULT
- WIN
- PNL
- $15.03
- 02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9PM ET+6.0 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
- RESULT
- LOSS
- PNL
- -$10.37
- 03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5PM ET+34.6 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
- RESULT
- LOSS
- PNL
- -$11.01
- 04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1PM ET+5.5 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
- RESULT
- LOSS
- PNL
- -$12.35
- 05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 2PM ET+7.2 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
- RESULT
- LOSS
- PNL
- -$14.63
Daily reports describe simulated model behavior. They are not a brokerage statement, audited financial result or guarantee of future performance.