Bitcoin Prediction Markets
Bitcoin 1-Hour hub
UTC DAILY ARCHIVE

Bitcoin 1-Hour Prediction Markets Daily Report — August 1, 2026

Auditable summary of completed simulated signals and market conditions.

TOTAL SIGNALS154MODEL EVENTS
COMPLETED41W / 3L
HIT RATE25.0%SIMULATED
AVG EDGE+48.1 ppAT ENTRY
PAPER PNL-$116.92-29.2% AVG RETURN
SESSION CONTEXT

Bitcoin market regime

The session completed 4 paper trades with a 25.0% hit rate and an average modeled entry edge of 48.1 percentage points. Aggregate realized paper PnL finished negative; short samples should not be treated as evidence of future performance.

RANKED BY PAPER PNL

Top trades of the day

4 CASES
  1. 01
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1AM ET+45.0 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    WIN
    PNL
    $3.27
    CASE STUDY
  2. 02
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5AM ET+45.6 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$9.76
    CASE STUDY
  3. 03
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9AM ET+11.8 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$10.42
    CASE STUDY
  4. 04
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4AM ET+89.9 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$100.00
    CASE STUDY

Daily reports describe simulated model behavior. They are not a brokerage statement, audited financial result or guarantee of future performance.