Bitcoin Prediction Markets
Bitcoin 15-Minute hub
UTC DAILY ARCHIVE

Bitcoin 15-Minute Prediction Markets Daily Report — August 5, 2026

Auditable summary of completed simulated signals and market conditions.

TOTAL SIGNALS2399MODEL EVENTS
COMPLETED41W / 3L
HIT RATE25.0%SIMULATED
AVG EDGE+35.9 ppAT ENTRY
PAPER PNL-$6.19-1.5% AVG RETURN
SESSION CONTEXT

Bitcoin market regime

The session completed 4 paper trades with a 25.0% hit rate and an average modeled entry edge of 35.9 percentage points. Aggregate realized paper PnL finished negative; short samples should not be treated as evidence of future performance.

RANKED BY PAPER PNL

Top trades of the day

4 CASES
  1. 01
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET+52.8 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    WIN
    PNL
    $113.98
    CASE STUDY
  2. 02
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET+17.5 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$9.75
    CASE STUDY
  3. 03
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET+5.2 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$10.42
    CASE STUDY
  4. 04
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET+68.0 pp edge · 83.3% confidence
    RESULT
    LOSS
    PNL
    -$100.00
    CASE STUDY

Daily reports describe simulated model behavior. They are not a brokerage statement, audited financial result or guarantee of future performance.