Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 02:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 23:26 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BESTIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T20:53:29.491Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T20:58:31.558Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:03:39.954Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:08:49.782Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:14:58.168Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:19:59.444Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:25:19.487Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:30:32.866Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:35:43.776Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:40:47.740Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:45:51.967Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:51:00.017Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:56:13.339Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:01:21.089Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:06:25.875Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:14:04.204Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:19:14.688Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:24:26.143Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:29:34.505Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:34:49.183Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:39:59.971Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:45:15.073Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:50:23.855Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:55:43.152Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:00:51.173Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:06:00.295Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:11:08.340Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:16:16.410Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:21:26.950Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:27:19.584Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between BESTIA and Isurus in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 1 against Isurus. This market will resolve to "Isurus" if Isurus win Map 1 against BESTIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.