Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 02:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 23:26 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BESTIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T20:43:16.565Z | 7.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T20:53:29.491Z | 0.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between BESTIA and Isurus in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 1 against Isurus. This market will resolve to "Isurus" if Isurus win Map 1 against BESTIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.