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Dota 2: Level UP vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Ends: Aug 11, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 11, 2026, 12:47 UTC

VERDICTFAIR VALUE CALCULATING

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET LEVEL UP 0.1%MARX FAIR LEVEL UP -
LEVEL UP probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0.0%0.5%1.0%1.5%2.0%
MARX FAIRFair Price is calculating. The line appears after data validation.
Aug 11, 12:04 PMAug 11, 12:14 PMAug 11, 12:24 PMAug 11, 12:34 PMAug 11, 12:45 PM UTC

LEVEL UP probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-08-11T12:04:20.029Z0.1%-—
2026-08-11T12:09:22.440Z0.1%-—
2026-08-11T12:14:32.972Z0.1%-—
2026-08-11T12:19:39.741Z0.1%-—
2026-08-11T12:24:43.434Z0.1%-—
2026-08-11T12:29:48.364Z0.1%-—
2026-08-11T12:34:53.243Z0.1%-—
2026-08-11T12:39:58.996Z0.1%-—
2026-08-11T12:45:03.837Z0.1%-—

MARKET TIMELINE

Events are placed when they became available to the system

0 events

No linked events in this range.

FAIR PRICE CALCULATION

  • Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Level UP and Natus Vincere in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Level UP. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.

TRADE LEVEL UP/NATUS VINCERECALCULATION STATUSSTRATEGY