Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 01:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 23:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
100 THIEVES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T21:43:12.619Z | 53.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T21:48:18.541Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T21:53:19.637Z | 11.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T21:58:28.059Z | 41.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:03:34.545Z | 61.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:08:43.192Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:13:49.542Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:18:58.535Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:24:05.491Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:29:14.605Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:34:15.980Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:39:18.783Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:44:29.814Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:49:30.679Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:54:31.408Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:59:34.559Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T23:04:38.934Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T23:09:43.904Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and Cloud9 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 7 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against Cloud9. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Map 1 against 100 Thieves. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.