Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Dane Sweeny
Ends: Aug 25, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 18, 2026, 23:28 UTCResult: JESPER DE JONGResolved: Aug 18, 2026, 23:21 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
JESPER DE JONG probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18T22:27:22.280Z | 93.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T22:37:35.660Z | 96.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Dane Sweeny in the Quebec City, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Dane Sweeny. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Jesper de Jong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.