LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 17:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 13:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BNK FEARX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T04:30:21.548Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T04:40:35.328Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T04:50:40.171Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T05:00:49.530Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T05:05:52.113Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T05:16:10.984Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T05:26:30.944Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T05:36:41.343Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T05:43:38.429Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T05:53:55.053Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T06:04:08.982Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T06:09:10.188Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T10:43:22.414Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T10:53:44.138Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T10:58:47.902Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:09:01.312Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:19:19.641Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:29:33.508Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:39:58.286Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:45:01.323Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:55:09.040Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:05:20.380Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:15:35.143Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:20:43.034Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:30:57.928Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:41:15.490Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:51:24.755Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:01:38.194Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:06:44.334Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:13:00.265Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Kiwoom DRX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 9 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.