Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 24:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 21:13 UTCResult: NEMIGA GAMINGResolved: Aug 7, 2026, 21:09 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM JENZ probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T18:57:04.413Z | 5.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:02:09.352Z | 1.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:13:23.880Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:18:34.253Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:28:49.509Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:39:04.186Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:49:29.720Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:54:42.828Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T20:04:50.031Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T20:15:08.903Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T20:25:21.635Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T20:30:29.642Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T20:40:47.285Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T20:50:55.018Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T21:01:03.731Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T21:11:14.783Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Jenz and Nemiga Gaming in the EPL Masters Group A, initially scheduled for August 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Jenz" if Team Jenz win Game 1 against Nemiga Gaming. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against Team Jenz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.