Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 18:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 14:58 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
RE.ARISE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T13:13:41.323Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:18:59.294Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:24:07.984Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:34:26.886Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:44:41.981Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:54:58.453Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:00:03.495Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:10:10.907Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:20:23.369Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:30:35.300Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:40:51.657Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:45:54.220Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:56:15.420Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between RE.Arise and No Hoodwink in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for August 6 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "RE.Arise" if RE.Arise win Game 1 against No Hoodwink. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hoodwink win Game 1 against RE.Arise. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.