Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 05:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 02:58 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM ENVY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T00:26:39.129Z | 23.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:31:44.174Z | 13.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:36:52.193Z | 23.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:47:04.440Z | 18.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:58:33.257Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:03:39.793Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:13:58.355Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:24:15.168Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:34:37.273Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:39:46.290Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:49:57.284Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T02:00:08.594Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T02:10:31.523Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T02:20:43.490Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T02:26:44.803Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T02:36:58.564Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T02:43:24.660Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T02:53:39.742Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 6 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Envy" if Team Envy win Map 2 against NRG. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 2 against Team Envy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.