Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 19:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 16:29 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
B8 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14T13:50:27.679Z | 27.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T13:55:37.281Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:03:05.729Z | 87.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:08:12.453Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:14:26.940Z | 15.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:19:46.080Z | 24.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:24:51.680Z | 2.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:29:58.946Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:35:13.812Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:40:25.235Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:45:41.753Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:50:52.214Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:56:00.958Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:02:03.314Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:07:19.257Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:12:32.129Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:17:40.624Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:22:48.744Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:31:03.025Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:36:07.974Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:41:22.761Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:47:26.410Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:52:33.042Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:00:33.852Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:05:36.577Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:10:57.355Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:16:49.639Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:22:00.465Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:27:26.621Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:33:13.447Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between B8 and Vitality in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win Map 1 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 1 against B8. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.