LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 09:45 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
T1 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T07:17:32.798Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:22:41.130Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:27:43.009Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:32:50.301Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:37:52.216Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:43:30.548Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:48:38.705Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:53:54.514Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:59:04.517Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:04:15.194Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:09:26.183Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:14:35.722Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:19:39.618Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:24:51.504Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:29:59.458Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:35:04.604Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:40:09.760Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:45:15.786Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:50:24.681Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T08:55:29.495Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:00:35.184Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:05:42.065Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:11:43.940Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:16:54.208Z | 18.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:22:03.575Z | 25.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:28:28.591Z | 40.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:33:39.754Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:38:57.487Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:44:05.025Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T09:45:02.406Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 2 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.