Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends: Mar 31, 2027, 23:55 UTCMarket data: Sep 19, 2026, 12:54 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21T18:57:22.241Z | 0.9% | 1.9% | +1.1 pp |
| 2026-07-21T19:59:58.149Z | 0.9% | 1.9% | +1.1 pp |
| 2026-07-21T20:46:36.762Z | 0.9% | 1.9% | +1.1 pp |
| 2026-07-21T21:49:38.683Z | 0.9% | 1.9% | +1.1 pp |
| 2026-07-21T22:51:51.452Z | 0.9% | 1.9% | +1.1 pp |
| 2026-07-21T23:54:36.815Z | 0.9% | 1.9% | +1.1 pp |
| 2026-07-22T00:57:38.573Z | 0.9% | 1.9% | +1.1 pp |
| 2026-07-22T03:55:52.071Z | 0.9% | 1.9% | +1.1 pp |
| 2026-07-24T10:55:05.767Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T02:57:29.446Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T03:59:12.441Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T04:45:00.802Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T05:47:11.105Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T06:48:10.815Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T07:49:12.259Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T08:50:11.075Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T09:52:39.694Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T10:55:14.548Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T11:56:12.977Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T12:58:53.163Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T13:45:07.920Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T14:46:25.486Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-25T15:16:39.480Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-30T05:52:24.390Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-30T05:57:10.042Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-07-30T06:40:46.854Z | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp |
| 2026-08-17T03:55:24.227Z | 0.7% | 3.0% | +2.3 pp |
| 2026-08-23T02:58:44.301Z | 0.5% | 3.0% | +2.4 pp |
| 2026-08-24T16:33:56.694Z | 0.4% | 3.0% | +2.5 pp |
| 2026-09-18T21:10:55.827Z | 0.4% | 3.0% | +2.6 pp |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
FORECAST HISTORY
| Time | PM | FAIR | EDGE | SIGNAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 06:40 AM | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp | NO EDGE |
| Jul 30, 05:52 AM | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp | NO EDGE |
| Jul 25, 03:16 PM | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp | NO EDGE |
| Jul 25, 02:46 PM | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp | NO EDGE |
| Jul 25, 01:45 PM | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp | NO EDGE |
| Jul 25, 12:58 PM | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp | NO EDGE |
| Jul 25, 11:56 AM | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp | NO EDGE |
| Jul 25, 10:55 AM | 0.9% | 3.0% | +2.1 pp | NO EDGE |
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.