Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 17:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 15:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LIQUID probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T14:20:38.333Z | 86.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:30:44.677Z | 98.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Liquid and fnatic in the Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 2 against Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.