Market Analysis
Back to markets
World · POLYMARKET · CLOSED

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 19:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 17:32 UTCResult: MOUZResolved: Aug 14, 2026, 17:27 UTC

VERDICTNO PUBLISHED ANALYSIS

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET FUT ESPORTS 0.1%MARX FAIR FUT ESPORTS -
FUT ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0%19%38%56%75%
MARX FAIRFair Price was not published: reliable data is insufficient.
Aug 14, 02:14 PMAug 14, 03:02 PMAug 14, 03:51 PMAug 14, 04:39 PMAug 14, 05:28 PM UTC

FUT ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-08-14T14:14:30.604Z35.5%-
2026-08-14T14:19:46.080Z35.0%-
2026-08-14T14:29:58.946Z47.5%-
2026-08-14T14:35:13.812Z62.0%-
2026-08-14T14:45:41.753Z57.0%-
2026-08-14T14:56:00.958Z53.5%-
2026-08-14T15:02:03.314Z53.5%-
2026-08-14T15:12:32.129Z62.5%-
2026-08-14T15:22:48.744Z0.5%-
2026-08-14T15:31:03.025Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T15:41:22.761Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T15:47:26.410Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T16:00:33.852Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T16:05:36.577Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T16:16:49.639Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T16:27:26.621Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T16:33:13.447Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T16:46:16.788Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T16:51:23.196Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T17:01:38.702Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T17:12:45.838Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T17:17:52.201Z0.1%-
2026-08-14T17:28:01.613Z0.1%-

MARKET TIMELINE

Events are placed when they became available to the system

0 events

No linked events in this range.

INSUFFICIENT DATA

  • No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
  • No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between FUT Esports and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.