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Sports · POLYMARKET · CLOSED

National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 01:27 UTCResult: BOTIC VAN DE ZANDSCHULPResolved: Aug 6, 2026, 01:21 UTC

VERDICTNO PUBLISHED ANALYSIS

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET DANIIL MEDVEDEV 0.0%MARX FAIR DANIIL MEDVEDEV -
DANIIL MEDVEDEV probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0%25%50%75%100%
MARX FAIRFair Price was not published: reliable data is insufficient.
Aug 05, 07:59 PMAug 05, 09:21 PMAug 05, 10:43 PMAug 06, 12:05 AMAug 06, 01:27 AM UTC

DANIIL MEDVEDEV probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-08-05T22:54:13.924Z76.5%-
2026-08-05T22:59:17.982Z76.5%-
2026-08-05T23:04:25.654Z76.5%-
2026-08-05T23:09:34.982Z71.5%-
2026-08-05T23:14:44.598Z71.5%-
2026-08-05T23:19:54.820Z78.5%-
2026-08-05T23:25:01.118Z76.0%-
2026-08-05T23:30:07.100Z70.5%-
2026-08-05T23:35:09.088Z58.5%-
2026-08-05T23:40:22.303Z58.5%-
2026-08-05T23:46:08.095Z44.5%-
2026-08-05T23:51:18.861Z38.5%-
2026-08-05T23:56:56.304Z26.5%-
2026-08-06T00:02:01.807Z18.5%-
2026-08-06T00:07:07.428Z17.0%-
2026-08-06T00:12:15.878Z45.5%-
2026-08-06T00:17:56.239Z49.5%-
2026-08-06T00:23:01.737Z56.5%-
2026-08-06T00:29:25.088Z33.5%-
2026-08-06T00:34:31.544Z37.0%-
2026-08-06T00:39:42.207Z43.0%-
2026-08-06T00:44:54.792Z14.5%-
2026-08-06T00:50:01.371Z0.5%-
2026-08-06T00:55:16.224Z0.1%-
2026-08-06T01:00:23.678Z0.1%-
2026-08-06T01:05:28.218Z0.1%-
2026-08-06T01:10:39.169Z0.1%-
2026-08-06T01:15:53.713Z0.1%-
2026-08-06T01:21:01.531Z0.1%-
2026-08-06T01:27:29.734Z0.0%-

MARKET TIMELINE

Events are placed when they became available to the system

0 events

No linked events in this range.

INSUFFICIENT DATA

  • No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
  • No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Botic van de Zandschulp in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.