Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 02:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 24:05 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BESTIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T21:33:49.902Z | 94.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:38:55.735Z | 98.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:44:07.248Z | 99.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:49:13.124Z | 93.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:54:19.792Z | 99.8% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T21:59:48.029Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:04:53.763Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:10:02.864Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:15:08.524Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:20:12.299Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:25:17.658Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:30:22.366Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:35:44.055Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:40:47.074Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:45:59.471Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:51:00.920Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T22:56:11.634Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:01:22.682Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:06:27.729Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:13:37.951Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:18:44.833Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:23:49.511Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:29:37.832Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:34:48.393Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:39:58.199Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:45:03.915Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:50:11.388Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:55:21.558Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:00:27.708Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:05:29.495Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between BESTIA and Isurus in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 2 against Isurus. This market will resolve to "Isurus" if Isurus win Map 2 against BESTIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.