Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 21:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 18:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FNATIC probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T16:13:55.640Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:19:09.118Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:29:30.897Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:34:45.467Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:45:11.562Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:55:21.974Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:05:35.534Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:10:41.069Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:21:00.741Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:31:19.565Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:41:34.296Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:51:39.973Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:58:50.713Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:09:05.584Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:14:09.720Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between fnatic and K27 in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 9 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 1 against K27. This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win Map 1 against fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.