Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 24:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 21:06 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NATUS VINCERE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T19:28:45.078Z | 78.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:33:49.477Z | 76.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:38:56.537Z | 84.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:49:14.057Z | 96.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:59:53.423Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:10:16.849Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:15:32.740Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:26:04.978Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:36:21.804Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:41:31.005Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:51:46.430Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:03:42.113Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:06:57.660Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Joblife in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 6 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Joblife. This market will resolve to "Joblife" if Joblife win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.