Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 16:05 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 14:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM VISION probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T09:45:04.328Z | 56.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:50:14.106Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:00:38.872Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:11:06.367Z | 63.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:21:52.380Z | 63.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:27:03.088Z | 63.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:37:17.366Z | 62.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:51:21.840Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:56:36.295Z | 60.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:06:52.590Z | 75.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:12:02.259Z | 75.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:24:30.858Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:32:28.034Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:42:45.961Z | 36.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:53:04.883Z | 49.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:00:30.277Z | 53.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:10:45.166Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:15:52.481Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:26:34.460Z | 54.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:37:12.023Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:47:33.330Z | 61.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:52:40.964Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:00:49.631Z | 56.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:11:24.874Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:22:58.825Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:28:36.111Z | 38.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:38:52.708Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:46:48.100Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:57:08.709Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:04:35.998Z | 61.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between TEAM VISION and Team Falcons in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against TEAM VISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.