LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 22:40 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 20:04 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BUSHIDO WILDCATS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T19:40:22.030Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:46:00.955Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:51:08.836Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:56:19.038Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:01:27.514Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Mid bracket round 2 match between Bushido Wildcats and Dark Passage in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win Game 1 against Dark Passage. This market will resolve to "Dark Passage" if Dark Passage win Game 1 against Bushido Wildcats. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.