Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 20:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 18:11 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
VIRTUS.PRO probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T16:59:11.479Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:04:18.877Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:14:29.566Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:24:46.331Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:29:54.145Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:40:18.455Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:50:32.399Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:00:52.490Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:05:58.981Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Virtus.pro and Sangal in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16, initially scheduled for August 7 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Map 1 against Sangal. This market will resolve to "Sangal" if Sangal win Map 1 against Virtus.pro. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.