Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 11, 2026, 05:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 11, 2026, 02:41 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ISURUS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11T00:13:13.390Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T00:23:22.566Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T00:34:00.986Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T00:59:38.445Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:09:50.754Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:19:55.842Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:25:03.751Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:35:13.440Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:45:23.123Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:55:32.698Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:05:47.627Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:10:49.937Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:20:57.818Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:31:06.077Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:41:13.923Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Isurus and Grêmio Esports in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 10 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Isurus" if Isurus win Map 1 against Grêmio Esports. This market will resolve to "Grêmio Esports" if Grêmio Esports win Map 1 against Isurus. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.