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Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova

Ends: Sep 23, 2026, 16:00 UTCMarket data: Sep 17, 2026, 04:07 UTC

VERDICTFAIR VALUE CALCULATING

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET KAYLA DAY 0.1%MARX FAIR KAYLA DAY -
KAYLA DAY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0%19%38%56%75%
MARX FAIRFair Price is calculating. The line appears after data validation.
Sep 17, 01:04 AMSep 17, 01:50 AMSep 17, 02:35 AMSep 17, 03:21 AMSep 17, 04:07 AM UTC

KAYLA DAY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-09-17T01:04:20.723Z32.5%-—
2026-09-17T01:09:56.563Z30.5%-—
2026-09-17T01:15:19.275Z32.5%-—
2026-09-17T01:23:31.959Z35.5%-—
2026-09-17T01:28:46.911Z35.5%-—
2026-09-17T01:34:04.347Z40.5%-—
2026-09-17T01:39:32.914Z33.5%-—
2026-09-17T01:44:50.510Z24.5%-—
2026-09-17T01:53:07.379Z21.5%-—
2026-09-17T01:58:48.190Z33.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:03:56.834Z34.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:09:07.418Z33.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:14:31.101Z33.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:24:17.349Z38.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:29:30.177Z45.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:34:38.836Z35.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:39:50.968Z10.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:46:14.045Z6.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:52:12.601Z10.5%-—
2026-09-17T02:57:22.471Z10.5%-—
2026-09-17T03:03:06.237Z25.8%-—
2026-09-17T03:08:15.650Z62.3%-—
2026-09-17T03:13:47.384Z62.3%-—
2026-09-17T03:21:23.012Z57.9%-—
2026-09-17T03:30:15.479Z0.1%-—
2026-09-17T03:35:35.403Z0.1%-—
2026-09-17T03:41:01.931Z0.1%-—
2026-09-17T03:50:08.612Z0.1%-—
2026-09-17T03:56:39.055Z0.1%-—
2026-09-17T04:07:20.522Z0.1%-—

MARKET TIMELINE

Events are placed when they became available to the system

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No linked events in this range.

FAIR PRICE CALCULATION

  • Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Day and Liudmila Samsonova in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Day' if Kayla Day advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Kayla Day. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.

TRADE KAYLA DAY/LIUDMILA SAMSONOVACALCULATION STATUSSTRATEGY