LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 20:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 24:56 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
SHARK ATTACK probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11T22:29:49.470Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T22:34:53.542Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T22:39:59.636Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T22:45:03.590Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T22:50:12.592Z | 16.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T22:55:15.574Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:00:19.198Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:05:25.585Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:10:29.930Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:15:35.044Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:20:39.077Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:25:43.918Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:30:54.442Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:36:00.295Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:41:04.693Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:46:08.943Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:51:11.946Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:56:17.126Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:01:23.948Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:06:36.502Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:11:40.032Z | 18.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:16:43.312Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:21:49.067Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:26:55.097Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:31:59.227Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:37:02.533Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:44:01.128Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:49:07.002Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:54:09.671Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:56:45.684Z | 19.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Mid bracket round 2 match between Shark Attack and SU Esports in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shark Attack" if Shark Attack win Game 1 against SU Esports. This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win Game 1 against Shark Attack. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.