Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 20:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 16:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
AURORA GAMING probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T15:16:51.893Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:21:57.147Z | 84.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:27:27.360Z | 82.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:32:39.883Z | 76.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:37:57.866Z | 89.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:44:33.502Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:49:40.573Z | 96.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:54:44.530Z | 94.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:59:50.412Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T16:05:17.506Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T16:10:27.387Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T16:13:02.301Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Aurora Gaming and M80 in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against M80. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.