Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 19:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 16:05 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BLACK PHOENIX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T14:13:56.145Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:19:03.289Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:24:14.618Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:29:17.497Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:34:24.157Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:39:28.767Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:44:31.020Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:49:33.499Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:54:38.748Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:59:41.223Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:04:51.693Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:10:02.276Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:15:10.324Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:20:13.379Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:25:20.050Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:30:24.166Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:35:26.111Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:40:36.248Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:45:42.126Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:50:58.061Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:56:01.738Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:01:07.482Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Black Phoenix and CYBERSHOKE Esports in the CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 8 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Black Phoenix" if Black Phoenix win Map 1 against CYBERSHOKE Esports. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Esports" if CYBERSHOKE Esports win Map 1 against Black Phoenix. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.