LoL: BoostGate Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 23:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 15:49 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BOOSTGATE ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T09:27:56.106Z | 13.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:21:03.366Z | 13.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:49:08.994Z | 12.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between BoostGate Esports and SU Esports in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 6 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "BoostGate Esports" if BoostGate Esports win Game 1 against SU Esports. This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win Game 1 against BoostGate Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.