Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs STATE - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 19:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 17:27 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
VP.PRODIGY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T16:37:38.331Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:43:23.432Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:48:33.105Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:53:43.125Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:58:48.018Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:03:52.520Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:08:59.784Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:14:03.367Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:19:13.712Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:24:16.657Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between VP.Prodigy and STATE in the United21 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 8 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "VP.Prodigy" if VP.Prodigy win Map 1 against STATE. This market will resolve to "STATE" if STATE win Map 1 against VP.Prodigy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.