LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 07:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
T1 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T04:44:15.901Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T04:49:22.264Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T04:54:29.306Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T04:59:32.730Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:04:45.884Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:09:52.890Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:14:58.259Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:20:01.356Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:25:07.723Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:30:14.274Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:35:16.915Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:40:23.707Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:45:27.295Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:50:28.525Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T05:55:37.975Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:01:15.233Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:06:25.389Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:11:39.715Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:16:46.187Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:21:53.684Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:28:48.255Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:33:51.923Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:38:53.902Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:43:59.312Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:49:02.534Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:54:09.629Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T06:59:36.104Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:04:41.841Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:09:48.428Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:14:28.000Z | 51.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.