LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 18, 2026, 05:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 18, 2026, 03:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
3V TEAM probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18T00:29:34.153Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T00:34:43.441Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T00:39:56.071Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T00:46:01.664Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T00:51:10.582Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T00:56:21.388Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:01:31.775Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:06:36.101Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:13:59.281Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:19:08.091Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:24:18.699Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:32:52.198Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:37:58.945Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:43:46.022Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:49:07.038Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T01:54:17.061Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:02:23.343Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:07:28.098Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:13:59.583Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:19:08.468Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:24:18.198Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:36:32.901Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:41:36.783Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:46:53.043Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:52:01.753Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T02:58:28.709Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T03:03:32.697Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T03:08:37.389Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between 3v Team and LYON Academy in the LRN Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 17 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "3v Team" if 3v Team win Game 1 against LYON Academy. This market will resolve to "LYON Academy" if LYON Academy win Game 1 against 3v Team. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.