Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 19:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 17:38 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
B8 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14T15:07:28.432Z | 4.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:12:32.129Z | 14.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:17:40.624Z | 14.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:22:48.744Z | 23.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:31:03.025Z | 36.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:36:07.974Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:41:22.761Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:47:26.410Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:52:33.042Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:00:33.852Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:05:36.577Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:10:57.355Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:16:49.639Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:22:00.465Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:27:26.621Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:33:13.447Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:38:19.979Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:46:16.788Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:51:23.196Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:56:32.869Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:01:38.702Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:06:46.886Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:12:45.838Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:17:52.201Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:22:58.058Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:28:01.613Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:33:50.127Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:38:56.169Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between B8 and Vitality in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win Map 2 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against B8. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.