Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 01:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 23:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KRÜ ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T20:44:37.201Z | 36.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T20:49:47.703Z | 35.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T20:54:56.945Z | 35.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:13:24.313Z | 23.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:18:30.815Z | 15.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:23:33.590Z | 7.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:28:39.954Z | 16.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:33:42.165Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:38:50.154Z | 28.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:44:25.966Z | 17.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:49:31.816Z | 4.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:54:46.944Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:59:54.359Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:05:08.869Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:10:17.480Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:15:27.617Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:20:31.966Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:25:43.552Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:30:51.696Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:35:59.712Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:41:09.388Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:46:25.631Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:51:29.887Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:56:38.057Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:01:47.301Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:06:49.799Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:13:00.363Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between KRÜ Esports and Sentinels in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 8 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports" if KRÜ Esports win Map 1 against Sentinels. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Map 1 against KRÜ Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.