Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 05:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 01:23 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LOUD probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T23:13:37.951Z | 11.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:18:44.833Z | 4.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:29:37.832Z | 5.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:39:58.199Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:50:11.388Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T23:55:21.558Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:05:38.785Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:15:59.680Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:26:14.834Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:31:19.553Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:41:40.208Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:52:12.613Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:58:27.136Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:08:38.542Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:18:58.258Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:23:12.664Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between LOUD and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 9 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Map 1 against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against LOUD. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.