LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 05:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 02:38 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KITS ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T00:44:01.128Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:49:07.002Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:54:09.670Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:59:13.960Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:04:20.014Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:09:24.783Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:14:36.563Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:19:39.085Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:24:49.235Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:30:01.282Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:35:09.167Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:40:20.453Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:45:31.098Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:50:35.954Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:55:45.518Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:00:50.716Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:05:58.568Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:11:04.963Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:16:11.015Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:21:17.187Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:26:24.802Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:31:29.664Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:36:40.904Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:38:12.761Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Kits Esports and SDM Tigres in the LRN Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kits Esports" if Kits Esports win Game 2 against SDM Tigres. This market will resolve to "SDM Tigres" if SDM Tigres win Game 2 against Kits Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.