Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 13:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
1WIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T10:25:06.196Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:30:11.098Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:40:24.571Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:50:35.668Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:00:55.102Z | 78.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:05:59.060Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:16:10.570Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:26:17.234Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:36:21.330Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:47:14.981Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:52:19.239Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T12:02:21.869Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T12:12:29.321Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T12:22:49.706Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T12:27:54.845Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T12:38:09.160Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T12:48:34.424Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T12:58:44.101Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:03:50.724Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:14:10.590Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between 1win and BetBoom Team in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Game 2 against 1win. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.