Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 17:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 14:58 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
WOLVES ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T12:44:47.768Z | 38.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:49:55.693Z | 15.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:55:08.706Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:00:14.598Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:05:18.300Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:10:30.630Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:15:40.091Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:20:49.648Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:25:56.324Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:31:00.531Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:36:05.540Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:41:20.097Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:46:24.912Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:51:29.709Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:56:42.648Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:01:54.593Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:07:04.621Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:13:36.624Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:18:39.733Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:23:50.667Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:28:56.071Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:34:01.840Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:39:08.503Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:44:27.508Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:49:31.419Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:54:38.179Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:59:50.814Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Wolves Esports and Dragon Ranger Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 6 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Wolves Esports" if Wolves Esports win Map 2 against Dragon Ranger Gaming. This market will resolve to "Dragon Ranger Gaming" if Dragon Ranger Gaming win Map 2 against Wolves Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.