Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 15:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 12:19 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NO HOODWINK probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T10:28:36.842Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:33:47.423Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:38:52.588Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:44:53.168Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:50:00.583Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:55:05.519Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:00:15.749Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:05:22.930Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:10:28.397Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:15:36.433Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:20:37.770Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:25:43.241Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:30:51.972Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:35:53.934Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:40:59.966Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:46:07.091Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:51:12.847Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:56:21.933Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:01:28.129Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:06:41.551Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:11:56.717Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:17:08.875Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between No Hoodwink and Zero Tenacity in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for August 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hoodwink win Game 1 against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win Game 1 against No Hoodwink. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.