Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 19:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 16:42 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
1WIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T14:28:39.154Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:33:48.610Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:38:56.029Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:44:12.901Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:49:21.468Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:54:28.833Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:59:39.686Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:04:45.517Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:09:51.948Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:14:57.120Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:20:03.822Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:25:14.262Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:30:18.489Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:35:30.521Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:40:38.601Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:45:45.403Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:50:49.527Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:55:50.528Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T16:00:58.992Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T16:06:04.108Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T16:11:09.218Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T16:16:13.360Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T16:21:19.785Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T16:26:28.583Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T16:31:30.139Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T16:36:34.835Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T16:42:59.275Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between 1WIN and BC.Game Esports in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6, initially scheduled for August 7 at 8:50AM ET. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win Map 2 against BC.Game Esports. This market will resolve to "BC.Game Esports" if BC.Game Esports win Map 2 against 1WIN. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.