Counter-Strike: ALKA vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 02:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 24:11 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ALKA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T21:57:50.231Z | 71.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:02:54.258Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:07:57.065Z | 74.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:13:14.865Z | 79.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:18:19.018Z | 23.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:23:30.605Z | 54.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:28:33.165Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:33:37.972Z | 53.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:38:47.831Z | 42.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:43:55.917Z | 77.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:49:08.297Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:54:13.502Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:59:19.419Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:04:28.578Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:09:42.591Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:14:53.071Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:19:57.594Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:25:08.885Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:30:14.282Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:35:19.912Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:40:33.783Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:45:39.101Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:50:47.545Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:55:54.543Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T00:00:58.360Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T00:06:03.471Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T00:11:08.999Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between ALKA and paiN Academy in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 8 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ALKA" if ALKA win Map 2 against paiN Academy. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win Map 2 against ALKA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.