LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 10:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 05:36 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T03:08:41.603Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T03:13:52.803Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T03:18:57.043Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T03:24:12.782Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T03:29:19.298Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T03:34:26.925Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T03:39:38.134Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T03:44:54.275Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T03:50:03.109Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T03:55:13.009Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:00:35.635Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:05:43.632Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:10:56.259Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:16:08.067Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:21:18.010Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:26:31.386Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:31:40.420Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:36:42.192Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:41:54.584Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:46:58.113Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:52:07.904Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T04:58:16.833Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T05:03:26.692Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T05:08:48.450Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T05:14:01.935Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T05:19:11.948Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T05:24:26.199Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T05:29:43.647Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T05:34:48.735Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T05:36:45.273Z | 44.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Gen.G in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 10 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.