Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 19:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 16:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FUT ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14T14:03:04.358Z | 92.7% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:08:11.372Z | 91.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:19:37.397Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:29:54.348Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:35:08.457Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:45:35.013Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:55:50.491Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:01:59.669Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:12:32.185Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:22:54.890Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:30:53.884Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:41:16.944Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T15:47:17.585Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:00:08.161Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T16:05:15.784Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between FUT Esports and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 1 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.