Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 23:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 21:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM FALCONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T18:58:29.570Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:03:37.279Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:08:42.859Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:13:57.160Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:19:03.238Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:24:06.293Z | 29.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:29:13.896Z | 39.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:34:15.551Z | 27.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:39:23.086Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:44:31.777Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:49:42.158Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:54:47.754Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:59:52.333Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:04:57.394Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:10:07.021Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:15:17.364Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:20:19.584Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:25:28.438Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:30:34.558Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:35:39.202Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:41:15.240Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:46:23.198Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:51:34.781Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:56:42.509Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:01:50.849Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:06:59.102Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:12:09.309Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.